Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 407.633682 462.328777 522.782047 594.749630 678.340461 772.667606 887.584512
2026-01-25 318.597859 388.903039 473.476691 583.478496 723.890262 898.614885 1134.829247
2026-02-01 279.561179 358.605236 459.339932 598.679776 788.851448 1042.867195 1413.849178
2026-02-08 246.202527 328.296271 437.779340 596.851978 826.061043 1150.617886 1656.366906
2026-02-15 219.369606 302.141756 416.824359 590.566373 852.886491 1243.734650 1888.819072
2026-02-22 200.933911 284.884100 405.261466 594.695303 893.254298 1359.675429 2172.405619
2026-03-01 182.126217 264.717335 386.703485 585.123717 909.869865 1439.007724 2407.175178
2026-03-08 167.526027 249.128968 372.997193 580.783802 933.137553 1530.665134 2676.530176
2026-03-15 151.084099 229.057893 350.192311 558.809633 923.536840 1563.889489 2843.592923
2026-03-22 145.198341 224.922663 352.029698 577.519846 985.653804 1731.293672 3294.403292
2026-03-29 140.742121 222.580843 356.368127 600.657931 1058.124705 1927.497087 3839.568719
2026-04-05 132.875424 213.865213 349.119602 602.277416 1090.501934 2050.778165 4254.104601
2026-04-12 123.044138 201.224278 334.346397 589.225427 1094.282507 2119.921120 4568.674386
2026-04-19 114.400055 189.970873 321.076326 577.660538 1099.704505 2193.610744 4910.360153
2026-04-26 110.526420 186.731909 321.762911 592.711591 1160.927128 2395.525501 5606.197073
2026-05-03 104.648546 179.420138 314.326878 590.903346 1186.330937 2521.650023 6138.355463
2026-05-10 98.727232 171.571282 305.208341 584.689709 1201.262382 2625.720987 6635.606062
2026-05-17 94.589958 166.704690 301.319052 588.771424 1239.468475 2790.927011 7342.670247
2026-05-24 89.200827 159.091227 291.494369 579.309207 1245.419968 2877.626707 7842.688238
2026-05-31 84.822284 153.105731 284.404884 575.018794 1262.951333 2996.514466 8471.030878
2026-06-07 78.927221 143.799695 269.996791 553.294422 1235.917548 2994.673164 8717.245758
2026-06-14 77.571911 143.309153 273.427021 571.792032 1310.243490 3278.047424 9981.239358
2026-06-21 76.666325 143.638377 278.550299 594.665788 1398.829253 3617.671903 11547.201539